World Cup Simulation 2026
Explore the probabilities. A sophisticated engine simulating the 2026 World Cup using Elo ratings and statistical modeling.
Explore the Tournament
Matches
Follow the schedule and results of every game from the opening kick-off to the final whistle.
Groups
See the standings for each group, tracking points, goal differences, and qualification status.
Stages
Visualize the tournament bracket and the path to glory for the knockout stage teams.
Final
The ultimate showdown. See the prediction for the championship match and the winner.
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Our simulation engine combines multiple statistical models to generate the most accurate tournament predictions possible.
Elo Rating System
Going beyond standard rankings. We utilize dynamic Elo ratings to accurately track team strength, factoring in recent form, opponent quality, and historical performance.
Monte Carlo Simulation
We simulate the entire tournament 32,000+ times. This massive dataset reveals the true probability of every potential matchup and outcome.
Poisson Distribution
Goal scoring isn't random. We model offensive and defensive strengths to generate realistic scorelines for every simulated match.
Home Field Advantage
The simulator accounts for the distinct advantage of host nations (Canada, Mexico, USA), dynamically adjusting win probabilities.
